The numbers behind the macro story
50 series from official sources. Each card shows its own as-of date. Tap any card for the full history.
Rates
10-year Treasury yield
5.22%
−0.06 pp d/d+1.09 pp y/y
As of Oct 8, 2026DGS10
2-year Treasury yield
4.75%
−0.02 pp d/d+1.17 pp y/y
As of Oct 8, 2026DGS2
10-year minus 2-year spread
0.47
−0.04 pp d/d−0.08 pp y/y
As of Oct 8, 2026T10Y2Y
Effective fed funds rate
3.75%
+0.12 pp m/m−0.47 pp y/y
As of Sep 2026FEDFUNDS
Fed funds target range, upper limit
4.00%
±0.00 pp d/d−0.25 pp y/y
As of Oct 9, 2026FOMC
Fed funds target range, lower limit
3.75%
±0.00 pp d/d−0.25 pp y/y
As of Oct 9, 2026FOMC
Inflation
CPI inflation, 12-month
3.4%
±0.0 pp m/m+0.5 pp y/y
As of Aug 2026CUUR0000SA0
Core CPI inflation, 12-month
2.4%
±0.0 pp m/m−0.7 pp y/y
As of Aug 2026CUUR0000SA0L1E
PCE price index, 12-month
3.4%
+0.1 pp m/m+0.7 pp y/y
As of Aug 2026BEA DPCERG
Producer prices (PPI final demand), 12-month
5.4%
+0.6 pp m/m+2.7 pp y/y
As of Aug 2026BLS WPUFD4
CPI food inflation, 12-month
2.7%
−0.3 pp m/m−0.5 pp y/y
As of Aug 2026BLS CUUR0000SAF1
CPI energy inflation, 12-month
16.3%
+1.5 pp m/m+16.1 pp y/y
As of Aug 2026BLS CUUR0000SA0E
Jobs
Nonfarm payrolls, monthly change
29k
−104k m/m−47k y/y
As of Sep 2026PAYEMS
Unemployment rate
4.2%
+0.1 pp m/m−0.2 pp y/y
As of Sep 2026UNRATE
Average hourly earnings, 12-month
3.0%
−0.1 pp m/m−0.8 pp y/y
As of Sep 2026CES0500000003
Wages vs. prices
−0.3
−0.1 pp m/m−1.4 pp y/y
As of Aug 2026BLS AHE - CPI
Initial jobless claims (SA)
197k
−1.0% w/w−15.5% y/y
As of Oct 3, 2026DOL ETA 539
Continuing jobless claims (SA)
1.72 million
+1.0% w/w−11.0% y/y
As of Sep 26, 2026DOL ETA 539
Employment Cost Index, 12-month
3.4%
±0.0 pp q/q−0.2 pp y/y
As of Q2 2026BLS CIU1010000000000A
Job openings (JOLTS)
7.08 million
−3.5% m/m+2.3% y/y
As of Aug 2026BLS JTS000000000000000JOL
Job openings rate (JOLTS)
4.3%
−0.1 pp m/m+0.1 pp y/y
As of Aug 2026BLS JTS000000000000000JOR
Income & Spending
Personal saving rate
4.1%
−0.5 pp m/m−1.1 pp y/y
As of Aug 2026PSAVERT
Consumer spending (PCE), 12-month
6.1%
+0.4 pp m/m+0.5 pp y/y
As of Aug 2026BEA DPCERC
Retail sales, monthly change
1.1%
+1.6 pp m/m+0.8 pp y/y
As of Aug 2026Census MARTS 44X72
Retail sales, 12-month change
5.4%
+0.9 pp m/m+1.0 pp y/y
As of Aug 2026Census MARTS 44X72
Real disposable income, 12-month
1.3%
−0.2 pp m/m−0.4 pp y/y
As of Aug 2026BEA A067RX
Real consumer spending, 12-month
2.6%
+0.3 pp m/m−0.3 pp y/y
As of Aug 2026BEA DPCERX
Activity
Real GDP growth, annualized
2.2%
−0.3 pp q/q−1.8 pp y/y
As of Q2 2026BEA A191RL
Labor productivity growth, annualized
1.4%
+0.6 pp q/q−2.8 pp y/y
As of Q2 2026BLS PRS85006092
Labor productivity, 12-month
2.2%
−0.7 pp q/q+0.1 pp y/y
As of Q2 2026BLS PRS85006091
Brent crude oil price
$125.44
−0.1% d/d+87.0% y/y
As of Oct 6, 2026EIA RBRTE
Surveys
Fed & Treasury
Fed balance sheet, total assets
$6.75T
+0.1% w/w+2.4% y/y
As of Oct 7, 2026WALCL
Fed remittances due Treasury
−$233.6B
−$0.4B w/w+$9.9B y/y
As of Oct 7, 2026RESPPLLOPNWW
Federal debt, fiscal year-end
$40.17T
+6.7% vs prior FY
As of FY2026Debt to the Penny
Interest on public issues
$1,068.5B
+9.7% vs prior FY
As of FY2026Fiscal Data
Federal net interest outlays, fiscal year
$970.1B
+10.2% vs prior FY
As of FY2025OMB Table 3.1
Net interest as a share of federal receipts
18.53%
+0.64 pp vs prior FY
As of FY2025OMB Tables 3.1, 1.1 (computed)
Net interest as a share of GDP (fiscal year)
3.20%
+0.16 pp vs prior FY
As of FY2025OMB Tables 3.1, 1.2 (computed)
Total interest expense on the public debt, fiscal year
$1,360.4B
+11.5% vs prior FY
As of FY2026Fiscal Data interest expense
Total federal receipts, fiscal year
$5.24T
+6.4% vs prior FY
As of FY2025OMB Table 1.1
Credit
Credit card charge-off rate, all banks
3.82%
±0.00 pp q/q−0.37 pp y/y
As of Q2 2026CORCCACBS
Credit card delinquency rate, all banks
2.85%
−0.06 pp q/q−0.19 pp y/y
As of Q2 2026DRCCLACBS
Consumer credit outstanding
$5.20T
+0.2% m/m+2.7% y/y
As of Aug 2026Fed G.19 DTCTL.M
Revolving consumer credit, 12-month
3.4%
−0.2 pp m/m+5.8 pp y/y
As of Aug 2026Fed G.19 DTCTLR.M